Shiba Inu (SHIB/USDT): Current Technical State and Price Prediction

Latest Developments & Market Sentiment

Shiba Inu has been going through a rough patch lately. Recent data shows that about 140 billion SHIB tokens were withdrawn from exchanges over just three days. This typically means investors are holding for the long haul rather than planning to sell anytime soon. At the same time, the token has crashed roughly 87% from its March 2024 peak. We’re also seeing declining futures interest, consistently negative funding rates, and the burn rate has basically collapsed—down nearly 99% from previous highs. All of this points to weaker speculative interest and much less effective token-burning activity. The development team, however, keeps asking for patience, emphasizing that building real ecosystem utility—like layer upgrades and governance improvements—matters more than chasing quick price pumps.

Key Technical Metrics & Near-Term Price Behavior

Right now, SHIB is trading at

$0.0000065156

, down about 0.9% over the last day. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around the neutral zone at roughly 51.3, meaning the token isn’t particularly overbought or oversold at the moment. The MACD has just crossed bearish—the MACD line dipped below its signal line with a slightly negative histogram, which typically hints at fading upward momentum. The Simple Moving Average is sitting a bit above the current price, while the Exponential Moving Average is just below it. Basically, the price is stuck in a bit of limbo, though still leaning toward the downside.

Daily pivot levels paint a clearer picture of where things might go next. Resistance is stacked around

$0.000006720–$0.000006820

, with key support sitting between

$0.000006420–$0.000006220

. If the price breaks below that support zone, we could see deeper losses. But if it manages to push past resistance, that might kick off a more sustained rally.

Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months)

Based on what the charts are telling us, here are two likely scenarios:

• Bearish case: If SHIB can’t hold support around

  ~$0.00000642

  , selling pressure could intensify, pushing prices down toward

  $0.0000059–$0.0000060

  —levels that have acted as floors recently in 2026. An RSI dip toward oversold territory (below 30) would confirm this bearish path.

• Bullish case: If SHIB breaks convincingly above the $0.00000672–$0.00000682 resistance, short-term momentum could flip positive. From there, we might see a gradual climb toward

  $0.0000090–$0.0000100

  over the next few weeks, especially if burn rates pick up and overall market sentiment improves.

Longer Horizon Projections & Macro Technical Thresholds

Looking further out—through the rest of 2026 and beyond—opinions vary widely. Some analysts think SHIB could break out bullishly if it clears

$0.0000120

, which would mark a real shift from correction mode into expansion territory. In strong bullish scenarios, price targets range anywhere from

$0.000020–$0.000028

, and in more optimistic cases, even up to

$0.000060–$0.000099

. That said, these upside projections depend heavily on fundamental improvements actually happening—things like better burn mechanics, growing active addresses, and real ecosystem development.

Potential Risks & Key Catalysts

There are plenty of risks to keep in mind. The burn rate is currently almost negligible compared to the massive supply. A large chunk of tokens is concentrated in whale wallets, and SHIB remains highly sensitive to broader crypto market trends, especially Bitcoin’s movements and overall liquidity conditions. On the positive side, successful launches of ecosystem upgrades like Shibarium, meaningful developer updates, or renewed real-world utility could serve as major catalysts. Only when these catalysts actually materialize will the current technical compression and range-bound trading give way to a reliable bullish move.

Price Prediction Summary

Taking everything into account, here’s a realistic roadmap for where SHIB’s price might head over different timeframes: