Current Sentiment & Market Context
Right now, Notcoin (NOT) is sitting at roughly $0.00052058, up a tiny +0.7293% over the last 24 hours. It’s not exactly a thrilling move, especially when you consider how tough things have been lately for gaming and social tokens across the board. Recent forecasts suggest NOT could actually drop by about -25% over the next month, potentially landing around $0.0003782. On top of that, the token is trading way below its 200-day moving average near $0.0015, which doesn’t paint a pretty picture structurally unless something changes soon.
Key Technical Indicators & Levels
Looking at the 4-hour chart, here’s where things stand technically:
• RSI is hovering around 46.5 — pretty neutral territory, not oversold or overbought.
• MACD is sitting just below its signal line with a slightly negative histogram — pointing to some mild bearish pressure.
• The 4-hour EMA is near $0.00051985, with the SMA at $0.00051587 — both acting as weak support levels right now.
When we look at daily pivot points, the key levels to watch are:
• Pivot Point: around $0.00051733
• Resistance 1 (R1): approximately $0.00052967 — this is the first hurdle on the upside.
• Support 1 (S1): roughly $0.00050167 — if this breaks, things could get messier.
Short-Term & Mid-Term Scenarios
Over the next few weeks, we’re basically looking at two possible paths:
Bullish Reversal Setup
If NOT can hold above that $0.000500-$0.000505 support zone and we see the MACD cross back above its signal line with RSI climbing over 50, there’s a shot at bouncing toward $0.0005297 resistance. Push past that, and we might even see $0.000550, though this would need some positive vibes from the broader market and renewed excitement around TON and Telegram-based projects. Fresh announcements or utility upgrades could definitely help spark this kind of move.
Bearish Continuation Risk
On the flip side, if support around $0.000500 gives way, we could see NOT drift down to $0.000480 or even $0.000470 in a worst-case scenario. The headwinds here include a massive circulating supply, not much positive news lately, and generally weak crypto market sentiment. Multiple forecasts are actually pointing toward a slide to $0.000378 in the coming weeks if this scenario plays out.
Long-Term Projections & Fundamental Drivers
Looking further ahead to 2026 and beyond, the picture gets a lot more varied depending on how things develop. Some analysts are projecting an average price around $0.00110 by late 2026 if conditions improve moderately. Others think NOT could hit anywhere from $0.00078 to $0.00160 by 2030, but that’s assuming the ecosystem actually grows and finds more real-world utility. Without meaningful progress in areas like staking, GameFi integration, or DeFi activity—and without addressing supply concerns—NOT might just keep spinning its wheels in this range.
What really matters long-term is whether Telegram continues backing the TON blockchain, how engaged the community stays, whether there’s any token burning or supply management, and how regulations shake out for gaming tokens. If these pieces fall into place, NOT has a real shot at sustained growth. If not, the upside is probably going to stay pretty limited.
